Statistical analysis of supply response in late spring potatoes in California
Authors
Yair MundlakChester O. McCorkle
Authors Affiliations
Yair Mundlak was Research Assistant, Department of Agricultural Economics, Berkeley; Chester O. McCorkle, Jr. was Assistant Professor of Agricultural Economics and Assistant Agricultural Economist in the Experiment Station and on the Giannini Foundation, Davis.Publication Information
Hilgardia 24(16):455-493. DOI:10.3733/hilg.v24n16p455. April 1956.
PDF of full article, Cite this article
Abstract
This study attempts to specify an acreage response function for late spring potatoes in California and to estimate the parameters of alternative expressions of this function. Least-square estimates of these parameters indicate that gross income from competing crops, potato prices from previous season(s), and acreage available for potatoes determine in large part the variation of potato acreage with trend removed.
Two possible policy applications are suggested: the calculation of year-to-year acreage forecasts and the achievement of acreage goals through the manipulation of prices of potatoes and alternative crops, as suggested in various agricultural programs turning on forward pricing.
Literature Cited
Bean L. H. The farmers’ response to price. Jour. Farm Econ. 1929. 11(3):368-385. DOI: 10.2307/1229848 [CrossRef]
Bean L. H. The farmers’ response to price. Research in farm management, scope, and method. Prepared under the direction of the Advisory Committee on Social and Economic Research in Agriculture. Social Science Research Council Bul. 1932. 13:98-99. Black J. D. (ed.)
Cox R. W., Quintus P. E. Minnesota farmers’ response to price relationships in the production of selected crops. Jour. Farm Econ. 1932. 14(4):697-700. DOI: 10.2307/1230151 [CrossRef]
Elliott F. F., Wells O. V. Farmers’ response to price in the production of flax. 1932. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Bureau of Agricultural Economics. 33p. A preliminary report
Ezekiel Mordecai. Statistical analysis and the “laws” of price. Quart. Jour. Econ. 1928. 42(2):199-227. DOI: 10.2307/1884046 [CrossRef]
Ezekiel Mordecai. The cobweb theorem. Quart. Jour. Econ. 1938. 52(2):225-280. DOI: 10.2307/1881734 [CrossRef]
Fox Karl A., Cooney Jas. F. Jr. Effects of intercorrelation upon multiple correlation and regression measures. 1954. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Marketing Service. 28p. (Mimeo.)
Girshick M. A. The application of the theory of linear hypotheses to the coefficient of elasticity of demand. Amer. Statis. Assoc. Jour. 1942. 39(218):233-237. DOI: 10.1080/01621459.1942.10500630 [CrossRef]
Girshick M. A., Haavelmo Trygve. Statistical analysis of the demand for food: examples of simultaneous estimation of structural equations. Econometrica. 1947. 15(2):79-110. DOI: 10.2307/1907066 [CrossRef]
Hart B. I., Von Neumann J. Tabulation of the probabilities for the ratio of the mean square successive difference to the variance. Ann. Math. Stat. 1942. 13:207-214. DOI: 10.1214/aoms/1177731606 [CrossRef]
Hartkemeier H. P. The supply function for agricultural commodities. Missouri Univ. Studies. 1932. 7(4):1-79.
Johnson D. Gale. Forward prices for agriculture. 1947. Chicago, Illinois: Univ. of Chicago Press. xiii + 259p.
Klein Lawrence R. A textbook of econometrics. 1953. New York: Row, Peterson and Co., Evanston, Illinois, and White Plains. 355p.
Koopmans Tjalling C., Hood Wm. C. The estimation of simultaneous linear economic relationships. Cowles Commission: Studies in Econometric Method, Monograph. 1953. 14:112-199. John Wiley and Sons, Inc., New York, N.Y.
McCorkle Chester O. Jr. Northern Kern County cotton-potato farms—costs, returns, and scale of operations. California Agr. Exp. Sta. Giannini Foundation Rept. 1953. 143(No. 2 of a series): (Mimeo.) 65 p.
McCorkle Chester O. Jr., Hedges Trimble R. Northern Kern County cotton-potato farms—organization, inputs, and costs. California Agr. Exp. Sta. Giannini Foundation Rept. 1952. 137(No. 1 of a series): (Mimeo.) 89 p.
Mighell R. L., Allen R. H. Supply schedules—“long-time” and “short-time”. Jour. Farm Econ. 1940. 22(3):554-577.
Moore H. L. A moving equilibrium of demand and supply. Quart. Jour. Econ. 1925. 39(3):357-371. DOI: 10.2307/1882433 [CrossRef]
Schultz Henry. The theory and measurement of demand. 1938. Chicago, Ill.: Univ. of Chicago Press. xxxi + 817p.
Schultz Theodore W. Agriculture in an unstable economy. 1945. New York, N.Y.: McGraw-Hill Book Co. xix + 299p.
Schultz T. W., Brownlee O. H. Two trials to determine expectations models applicable to agriculture. Quart. Jour. Econ. 1942. 56(3):487-496. DOI: 10.2307/1882212 [CrossRef]